Mr Aftab Alam Khan, international climate change expert and lead trainer shared that Pakistan crossed the line of water stressed country in 1990 and that of water scarce country in 2005. The unchanged situation would lead to absolute shortage of water in 2025. Such state of affairs is a receipt of disaster. Water intensive production system in agricultural and industrial sectors must be transformed into water smart systems. Government, academia, parliamentarians and civil society organizations need to play collective and collaborative role.

Beside water situation, Mr Aftab Alam, highlighted the impact of climate change on health, agriculture and food security. In 2021, the expanded timeline of dengue cases in Pakistan was one of the key impacts of climate change on health.  The rising trend of erratic rains challenges agricultural production. In 2020 monsoon season witnessed 41 percent above average rainfall whereas 2021 saw 9 percent below average rains.

While reflecting on the situation the journalists suggested climate emergency to ensure a focussed response against the challenges. Coordination system to be developed among all the stakeholders for collective planning, implementation and monitoring. The participants also discussed important role of media managers and owners to allocate greater sources for climate journalism.

“Very informative training on Climate Change. Presentations gave eye opening information on Climate issues”. Rahul Basharat, PTV World.

“This training session helped the participants to make their ideas in a compact form. It helped to better understand the growing issue of climate change.” Haider Abbas Baloch, Radio Pakistan.

“It was very informative session on Climate Change. We learnt about the changing climatic patterns. What causes global warming and the major greenhouse sources. The terms, adaptation and mitigation, and how they relate to climate change. We also discussed social responsibilities and roles of journalists, media, government, local people and society.”, Ms Lubna Sajjad, High-Class News.“

Rana Kashif, Director Environment, CDA distributed certificates among the participants and highlighted CDA’s contribution towards environmental development of the capital.

Ms Shazia Shaheen, Head of Program, underscored SPO’s work on capacity building against climate change and developing resilient solutions at local levels. RFI and SPO committed to continue trainings for journalists and other stakeholders in the country.

Press Statement by Resilient Future International Pvt Ltd

March 14, 2022

A new report by a United Nations body- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) highlights that Pakistan would face greater consequences of climate change in coming decades both in rural and urban areas.

The following findings are analyzed in a press statement of Resilient Future International Pvt Ltd, (RFI) an Islamabad based research and training company.

The Sixth IPCC Report ‘Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability’ February 28, 2022 shares the most advanced compendium of current and future climatic impacts in the world. Nearly 1000 authors reviewed 34 thousand scientific reports in 6-7 years to prepare this report, which was approved by 195 governments worldwide.   

It shows that up to 3.6 billion people live in highly vulnerable countries of South Asia, Small Island Developing States, the Arctic, Central and South America, and sub-Saharan Africa. Climatic vulnerability is exacerbated by inequity linked to gender, ethnicity, low income and other forms of marginalization.

The IPCC report places Pakistan among highly vulnerable countries and cites that rural and urban areas would face greater impacts of climate change. Pakistan is already among top ten climate impacted countries.

Hyderabad is going to be the hottest city in Pakistan, followed by Jacobabad, Bahawalnagar, Bahawalpur.  Karachi would also face severe heat waves.  In urban areas people’s income, health, lives, properties, energy and transportation systems are adversely affected by heatwaves, floods, drought, storms and sea level rise.

The report warns about future locust attacks.  Conducive temperature and increased rains in deserts would create favourable conditions for breeding and outbreak of locust. Important to note that recent locust attack in Pakistan, South Asia and Africa had destroyed crops and farmers’ income. Pakistan had lost 2 percent of agricultural production in the fiscal year 2019-20.

Agriculture in Pakistan faces greater disease attacks and crop losses due to floods, droughts and heatwaves. Warmer climate is leading to quicker grain formation phase in drylands areas of Southern Punjab. The IPCC report notes the issue of quicker grain formation as an irreversible impact of climate change. The report underscores that agrochemicals have degraded several parts Pakistan, Nepal, India and China. 

The report also cites successful and unsuccessful climate adaptation practices. In Pakistan changes in crop sowing and harvesting times and rural urban migration are among the coping practices. It categorizes plantation of Eucalyptus trees in Pakistan as maladaptation due to their high water uptake. Maladaptation means initiative that causes more harm than benefits for environment.   

Aftab Alam Khan CEO, Resilient Future International Pvt Ltd noted that “The new IPCC report reveals that risks indicated in the past reports are already turning into realities.  Our economy faces serious climate consequences. All departments in federal and provincial governments need to take lead. It’s crucial to uplift climate work by integrating agriculture extension, universities, health departments, rural, urban authorities and private sector. We should develop research based medium and long term plans as part of National Adaptation Plans. Inclusive process with urban authorities, universities, private sector, women and men farmers, and civil society organizations would ensure relevant and pragmatic plan.”

“It’s high time to train all sectors on challenges and opportunities of climate change. Health, agriculture, industries, media and IT sectors can contribute towards climate resilient and water smart economy. Universities can lead in research and technologies while private sector can produce climate smart products”.

Pakistan to face much more water issues in future. Pakistan, Bangladesh, China and India together account for 50 percent of global ground water withdrawal.  In coming decades water demand for irrigation, industry and household in Asia will increase by 30-40 percent.

The report also mentions increasing malnutrition, child stunting and health impacts such as dengue, malaria, intestine infections and waterborne diseases due to climatic changes.

Resilient Future International Pvt Ltd is a research and training company based in Islamabad, Pakistan.

For further comments or interview please write to info@resilient-future.org and/or

 WhatsApp: +923008523118

In conclusion it is important to realise that if such climatic challenges are faced by Islamabad – one of the most planned cities – what would be the situation for other cities in the country? Therefore, provincial governments should prioritize climate risk assessments and subsequent plans for resilient cities.

Mr Aftab Alam Khan is a Chevening Scholar and international expert on climate change, food security and poverty. Twitter at @aftabalamkan.

Today, I would talk about small farmers, the losses they suffer and their level of deprivation. I have chosen this subject because small farmers are the most squeezed segment in the society.  The phenomenon of the climate change has brought further devastation.  

Lets take my own example. I used to sow around 400 kg of gram seed every year. However, last year (2018), my district Layyah received no rains from March up to October. It was a drought like situation and hard to sow grams as the soil had lacked moisture. Nevertheless, I took the risk and sown 100 kg of gram seeds. The expense occurred on it remained Rs. 15, 000. My hope of good crop was linked with the expectation of rains. With timely rain, I was expecting production of around 62 maunds*.

However, it did not happen and as a result of drought, I harvested little over 4 maunds (162 kg) gram. I paid 01 maund as a wage for crop harvesting. The middleman took his share of 12 kg. Now, I was left with 110 kg of gram. Then I deducted 100 kg which were used as seeds. Hence I was left with 10 kg of gram. 

Is that all a small farmer deserved after his toil. The farmer, who produces food for the country, is facing such huge losses. Hence, in a state of deprivation.

I am just clueless what to write more. Is there someone to listen to? Anyone to read and pay attention on what I am going through?

• 1 Maund is equal to 40 kg.

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